16-6A Playoff Scenarios Headed into Week 11

The Chaos that was 16-6A after Week 9 settled down a little but in Week 10.

Here’s the district standings headed into Week 11

(5-1) Cypress Ranch

(4-2) Cypress Woods

(4-2) Bridgeland

(4-2) Cypress Falls

(3-3) Cypress Springs

(3-3) Langham Creek

(1-5) Cypress Lakes

(0-6) Cypress Park

And the schedule of games for Week 11

Thursday – Bridgeland ay Cypress Springs

Friday – Cypress Falls at Cypress Ranch

Saturday – Cypress Woods at Cypress Park

Saturday – Langham Creek at Cypress Lakes

The Obvious

Well not much in the district was obvious a week ago, but this was really simplified. Cy Ranch has clinched a playoff spot. Cy Woods has also clinched a playoff spot (but this isn’t obvious at all). Cy Falls and Bridgeland just need to win to get in. Everyone else needs help.

The Tie-Breakers

16-6A uses head-to-head as the preferred tie-breaker. If head-to-head is tied, then a positive/ negative point differential is used (capped at 17 points). If that is tied, then a coin flip is used. Each tie-breaker is used only to determine the next team in line meaning that if there is a 3-way tie for 2^nd involving use of tiebreakers, then the tiebreakers are used to first determined 2^nd place then everything is reset and 3^rd place is determine and repeat the process until all four playoff teams are determined. This may seem a little confusing but I’ll walk you through it in each scenario.

Team By Team

Cy Ranch

The Mustangs have clinched the playoffs.

Cy Woods

The Wildcats have clinched the playoffs

Cy Falls

The Golden Eagles clinch the playoffs if any of the following occurs

1 – Win Friday against Cy Ranch

2 – Bridgeland beats Cy Springs Thursday

3 – Cy Spring beats Bridgeland Thursday AND Cy Lakes beats Langham Creek

Bridgeland

The Bears clinch the playoffs if the following occurs

1 – Win Thursday against Cy Springs

Langham Creek

The Lobos clinch the playoffs if the following occurs

1 – win against Cy Lakes Saturday AND Cy Springs beats Bridgeland Thursday

Cy Springs

The Panthers clinch the playoffs if any of the following occurs

1 – Win against Bridgeland Thursday AND Cy Lakes beats Langham Creek Saturday

2 – Win against Bridgeland Thursday AND Langham Creek beats Cy Lakes Saturday AND Cy Ranch beats Cy Falls Friday

Cy Lakes

The Spartans have been eliminated from the playoffs

Cy Park

The Tigers have been eliminated from the playoffs

The Scenarios

All four games have potentional playoff implications. That means there are 16 different win combinations to examine.

Scenario 1 (Bridgeland over Cy Springs, Cy Falls over Cy Ranch, Cy Lakes over Langham Creek, Cy Park over Cy Woods)

1. Bridgeland (5-2) Head-to-head over both Cy Ranch and Cy Falls
2. Cy Falls (5-2) Head-to-head over Cy Ranch
3. Cy Ranch (5-2)
4. Cy Woods (4-3)

Cy Ranch, Cy Falls and Cy Bridgeland wind up tied for first. Bridgeland is #1 by virtue of their wins over both Cy Ranch and Cy Falls. In this scenario Cy Falls will have beaten Cy Ranch and would finish 2^nd. Cy Ranch finishes 3^rd.

Scenario 2 (Bridgeland over Cy Springs, Cy Falls over Cy Ranch, Cy Lakes over Langham Creek, Cy Woods over Cy Park)

1. Bridgeland (5-2) 2-1 in mini-district; head-to-head over Cy Falls
2. Cy Falls (5-2) 2-1 in mini-district
3. Cy Ranch (5-2) 1-2 in mini-district; head-to-head over Cy Woods
4. Cy Woods (5-2) 1-2 in mini-district

Cy Ranch, Cy Woods, Cy Falls and Bridgeland wind up in a 4-way tie for 1^st. They all make the playoffs. Bridgeland and Cy Falls would have two wins in this group of 4 and would be 1^st and 2^nd. Bridgeland beat Cy Falls heads up so they are #1. Cy Ranch beat Cy Woods so they are #3.

Scenario 3 (Bridgeland over Cy Springs, Cy Falls over Cy Ranch, Langham Creek over Cy Lakes, Cy Park over Cy Woods)

1. Bridgeland (5-2) Head-to-head over both Cy Ranch and Cy Falls
2. Cy Falls (5-2) Head-to-head over Cy Ranch
3. Cy Ranch (5-2)
4. Cy Woods (4-3) Head-to-head over Langham Creek

Cy Ranch, Cy Falls and Cy Bridgeland wind up tied for first. Bridgeland is #1 by virtue of their wins over both Cy Ranch and Cy Falls. In this scenario Cy Falls will have beaten Cy Ranch and would finish 2^nd. Cy Ranch finishes 3^rd.

Cy Woods and Langham Creek wind up tied for 4^th. Cy Wood beat Langham Creek.

Scenario 4 (Bridgeland over Cy Springs, Cy Falls over Cy Ranch, Langham Creek over Cy Lakes, Cy Woods over Cy Park)

1. Bridgeland (5-2) 2-1 in mini-district; head-to-head over Cy Falls
2. Cy Falls (5-2) 2-1 in mini-district
3. Cy Ranch (5-2) 1-2 in mini-district; head-to-head over Cy Woods
4. Cy Woods (5-2) 1-2 in mini-district

Cy Ranch, Cy Woods, Cy Falls and Bridgeland wind up in a 4-way tie for 1^st. They all make the playoffs. Bridgeland and Cy Falls would have two wins in this group of 4 and would be 1^st and 2^nd. Bridgeland beat Cy Falls heads up so they are #1. Cy Ranch beat Cy Woods so they are #3.

Scenario 5 (Bridgeland over Cy Springs, Cy Ranch over Cy Falls, Cy Lakes over Langham Creek, Cy Park over Cy Woods)

1. Cy Ranch (6-1)
2. Bridgeland (5-2)

3. Cy Falls (4-3) Head-to-head over Cy Woods
4. Cy Woods (4-3)

Cy Ranch wins the district outright. Bridgeland finishes 2^nd. Cy Falls and Cy Woods tied at 4-3. Cy Falls won heads up.

Scenario 6 (Bridgeland over Cy Springs, Cy Ranch over Cy Falls, Cy Lakes over Langham Creek, Cy Woods over Cy Park)

1. Cy Ranch (6-1)
2. Cy Woods (5-2) Head-to-head over Bridgeland

3. Bridgeland (5-2)
4. Cy Falls (4-3)

Cy Ranch wins the district outright. Cy Woods and Bridgeland tied for 2^nd. Cy Woods beat Bridgeland heads up. Cy Falls 4^th.

Scenario 7 (Bridgeland over Cy Springs, Cy Ranch over Cy Falls, Langham Creek over Cy Lakes, Cy Park over Cy Woods)

1. Cy Ranch (6-1)
2. Bridgeland (5-2)

3. Cy Falls (4-3)
4. Cy Woods (4-3)

Cy Ranch wins the district outright. Bridgeland finishes 2^nd. Cy Falls and Cy Woods tied at 4-3. Cy Falls won heads up. Cy Woods, Cy Falls and Langham Creek tied for 3^rd at 4-3. Cy Falls beat Cy Woods and Langham Creek heads up and finishes 3^rd. Cy Woods beat Langham Creek heads up and finishes 4^th.

Scenario 8 (Bridgeland over Cy Springs, Cy Ranch over Cy Falls, Langham Creek over Cy Lakes, Cy Woods over Cy Park)

1. Cy Ranch (6-1)
2. Cy Woods (5-2) Head-to-head over Bridgeland

3. Bridgeland (5-2)
4. Cy Falls (4-3) Head-to-head over Langham Creek

Cy Ranch wins the district outright. Cy Woods and Bridgeland are 5-3 and tied for 2^nd. Cy Woods beat Bridgeland heads up and finishes 2^nd. Cy Falls and Langham Creek are tied for 4^th at 4-3. Cy Falls beat Langham Creek heads up and is 4^th.

Scenario 9 (Cy Springs over Bridgeland, Cy Falls over Cy Ranch, Cy Lakes over Langham Creek, Cy Park over Cy Woods)

1. Cy Falls (5-2) Head-to-head over Cy Ranch
2. Cy Ranch (5-2)

3. Cy Woods (4-3) Head-to-head over Bridgeland and Cy Springs
4. Cy Springs (4-3) Head-to-head over Bridgeland

Cy Ranch and Cy Falls tied at 5-2. Cy Falls is 1^st by virtue of their heads up win over Cy Ranch. Cy Woods, Bridgeland and Cy Springs tied for 3^rd at 4-3. Cy Springs beat Bridgeland and is 4^th.

Scenario 10 (Cy Springs over Bridgeland, Cy Falls over Cy Ranch, Cy Lakes over Langham Creek, Cy Woods over Cy Park)

1. Cy Falls (5-2) Head-to-have over Cy Ranch and Cy Woods
2. Cy Ranch (5-2) Head-to-head over Cy Woods

3. Cy Woods (5-2)
4. Cy Springs (4-3) Head-to-head over Bridgeland

Cy Ranch, Cy Woods and Cy Falls tied for 1^st at 5-2. Cy Falls will have beaten Cy Ranch and Cy Woods and is first. Cy Ranch beat Cy Woods and is second. Cy Springs and Bridgeland tied for 4^th at 4-3. Cy Springs will have beaten Bridgeland and finishes 4^th.

Scenario 11 (Cy Springs over Bridgeland, Cy Falls over Cy Ranch, Langham Creek over Cy Lakes, Cy Park over Cy Woods)

1. Cy Falls (5-2) Head-to-head over Cy Ranch
2. Cy Ranch (5-2)
3. Cy Woods (4-3) Head-to-head over Bridgeland, Langham Creek and Cy Springs
4. Langham Creek (4-3) head-to-head over Bridgeland and Cy Springs

Cy Ranch and Cy Falls tied for 1^st at 5-2. Cy Falls will have beaten Cy Ranch and finishes 1^st. Cy Woods, Bridgeland, Langham Creek and Cy Springs finish in a 4-way tie for 3^rd at 4-3. Cy Woods is 3-0 in this mini-district and finishes 3^rd. Langham Creek beat Bridgeland and Cy Springs and finishes 4^th.

Scenario 12 (Cy Springs over Bridgeland, Cy Falls over Cy Ranch, Langham Creek over Cy Lakes, Cy Woods over Cy Park)

1. Cy Falls (5-2) Head-to-head over Cy Woods and Cy Falls
2. Cy Ranch (5-2) Head-to-head over Cy Woods
3. Cy Woods (5-2)
4. Langham Creek (4-3) Head-to-head over Bridgeland and Cy Springs.

Cy Ranch, Cy Woods and Cy Falls finish 5-3 tied for 1^st. Cy Falls will have beaten both Cy Ranch and Cy Woods and finishes 1^st. Cy Ranch beat Cy Woods and finishes 2^nd.

Bridgeland, Langham Creek and Cy Springs finished 4-3 tied for 4^th. Langham Creek beat Bridgeland and Cy Springs and finishes 4^th.

Scenario 13 (Cy Springs over Bridgeland, Cy Ranch over Cy Falls, Cy Lakes over Langham Creek, Cy Park over Cy Woods)

1. Cy Ranch (6-1)
2. Cy Woods (4-3) 2-1 in mini-district; Head-to-head over Cy Springs
3. Cy Springs (4-3) 2-1 in mini-district
4. Bridgeland (4-3) 1-2 in mini-district; Head-to-head over Cy Falls

Cy Ranch is 6-1 and wins the district championship. Cy Woods, Cy Falls, Bridgeland and Cy Springs finish 4-2 tied for 2^nd. Cy Woods and Cy Springs are 2-1 in this mini-district. Cy Woods beat Cy Springs and finishes 2^nd. Cy Springs finishes 3^rd. Bridgeland beat Cy Falls and finishes 4^th.

Scenario 14 (Cy Springs over Bridgeland, Cy Ranch over Cy Falls, Cy Lakes over Langham Creek, Cy Woods over Cy Park)

1. Cy Ranch (6-1)
2. Cy Woods (5-2)
3. Cy Springs (4-3) Head-to-head over Cy Falls and Bridgeland
4. Bridgeland (4-3) Head-to-head over Cy Falls

Cy Ranch is 6-1 and wins the district championship. Cy Woods is 5-2 and finishes 2^nd. Cy Falls, Bridgeland and Cy Springs are 4-3 and tied for 3^rd. Cy Springs beat both Cy Falls and Bridgeland and finishes 3^rd. Bridgeland beat Cy Falls and finishes 4^th.

Scenario 15 (Cy Springs over Bridgeland, Cy Ranch over Cy Falls, Langham Creek over Cy Lakes, Cy Park over Cy Woods)

1. Cy Ranch (6-1)
2. Cy Woods (4-3) 3-1 in first mini-district.
3. Langham Creek (2-1) in second mini-district; Head-to head over Cy Springs
4. Cy Springs (2-1) in second mini-district

Cy Ranch is 6-1 and wins the district championship. Cy Woods, Cy Falls, Bridgeland, Langham Creek and Cy Springs all finish 4-3 tied for 2^nd. Cy Woods would be 3-1 in this mini-district and finish 2^nd. That leaves Cy Falls, Bridgeland, Langham Creek and Cy Springs tied for 3^rd. Langham Creek and Cy Spring finish 2-1 in this mini-district and are 3^rd and 4^th. Langham Creek Beat Cy Springs so they are 3^rd. Cy Springs 4^th.

Scenario 16 (Cy Springs over Bridgeland, Cy Ranch over Cy Falls, Langham Creek over Cy Lakes, Cy Woods over Cy Park)

1. Cy Ranch (6-1)
2. Cy Woods (5-2)
3. Langham Creek (4-3) 2-1 in mini-district; Head-to-head over Cy Springs
4. Cy Springs (4-3) 2-1 in mini-district

Cy Ranch is 6-1 and wins the district championship. Cy Woods is 5-2 and 2^nd. Cy Falls, Bridgeland, Langham Creek and Cy Springs are 4-3 and tied for 3^rd. Langham Creek and Cy Springs are 2-1 in this mini-district and finish 3^rd and 4^th. Langham Creek beat Cy Springs so they are 3^rd. Cy Springs 4^th.

And that wraps if for this look at 16-6A scenarios headed into Week 11