The Katy ISD football is usually a very straight-forward district, but not the year with Cinco Ranch upsetting Tompkins and Morton Ranch upsetting Cinco Ranch.
Here’s the district standings headed into Week 11
(7-0) Katy
(5-2) Cinco Ranch
(5-2) Tompkins
(4-3) Jordan
(4-3) Morton Ranch
(4-3) Paetow
(2-5) Katy Taylor
(1-6) Seven Lakes
(0-8) Mayde Creek
And the schedule of games for Week 11
Thursday 6 pm – Cinco Ranch vs Seven Lakes
Thursday 7pm – Jordan vs Morton Ranch
Friday 6 pm – Katy vs Seven Lakes
Friday 7pm – Tompkins vs Paetow
Mayde Creek is open
The Obvious
Katy has clinched both a playoff berth and the district title. Katy Taylor, Seven Lakes and Mayde Creek have been eliminated from playoff competition.
The Tie-Breakers
19-6A uses head-to-head as the preferred tie-breaker. If head-to-head is tied, then a positive/ negative point differential is used (capped at 21 points). If that is tied, then a coin flip is used. Each tie-breaker is used only to determine the next team in line meaning that if there is a 3-way tie for 2nd involving use of tiebreakers, then the tiebreakers are used to first determined 2nd place then everything is reset and 3rd place is determine and repeat the process until all four playoff teams are determined. This may seem a little confusing but I’ll walk you through it in each scenario.
Team By Team
Katy
The Tigers have clinched a playoff berth and the district title.
Cinco Ranch
The Cougars have clinched a playoff berth.
Tompkins
The Falcons clinch a playoff berth if any of the following occur:
1 – The Falcons beat Paetow on Friday
2 – The Falcons lose to Paetow on Friday and Morton Ranch beats Jordan on Thursday
3 – The Falcons lose to Paetow on Friday and Jordan beats Morton Ranch on Thursday by less the 21 points
4 – The Falcons lose to Paetow on Friday and Jordan beats Morton Ranch on Thursday by 21 or more points and either Tompkins or Paetow win the coin toss
Jordan
The Warriors clinch a playoff berth if any of the following occur:
1 – Beat Morton Ranch on Thursday and Tompkins beats Paetow on Friday
2 – Beat Morton Ranch on Thursday and Paetow beats Tompkins on Thursday by less than 21 points
3 – Beat Morton Ranch on Thursday and Paetow beats Tompkins on Thursday by 21 or points and either Jordan or Tompkins win the coin toss
Morton Ranch
The Mavericks clinch a playoff berth if the follow occurs:
1 – Beat Jordan on Thursday and Tompkins beats Paetow on Friday
Paetow
The Panthers clinch a playoff berth if either of the follow occurs:
1 – Beat Tompkins on Friday and Morton Ranch beats Jordan on Thursday
2 – Beat Tompkins on Friday by 21 or more points and Paetow or Jordan wins the coin toss
Katy Taylor
Can’t qualify for the playoffs
Seven Lakes
Can’t qualify for the playoffs
Mayde Creek
Can’t qualify for the playoffs
The Scenarios
Since Katy has clinched the district title and Seven Lakes has been eliminated, the outcome of that game is not relevant to the determination of the remaining three playoff spots. That leaves three games that can have an impact. There are 8 different win combinations with those 3 games. Here’s who makes the playoffs in each of those combinations and why.
Scenario 1 (Cinco Ranch over Seven Lakes, Tompkins over Paetow, Jordan over Morton Ranch)
- Katy (8-0 or 7-1)
- Cinco Ranch (6-2) won head-to-head over Tompkins
- Tompkins (6-2)
- Jordan (5-3)
Scenario 2 (Cinco Ranch over Seven Lakes, Tompkins over Paetow, Morton Ranch over Jordan)
- Katy (8-0 or 7-1)
- Cinco Ranch (6-2) won head-to-head over Tompkins
- Tompkins (6-2)
- Morton Ranch (5-3)
Scenario 3 (Cinco Ranch over Seven Lakes, Paetow over Tompkins, Jordan over Morton Ranch)
- Katy (8-0 or 7-1)
- Cinco Ranch (6-2)
This scenario results in a three-way tie between Tompkins, Jordan and Paetow at 5-3.
Tompkins beat Jordan by 41. Jordan beat Paetow by 28. Paetow and Tompkins play this week and, in this scenario, Paetow wins that game.
That would mean all teams are 1-1 against each other and the positive/ negative tie-breaker capped at 21 is in use.
Differential before the Paetow Tompkins game is played: Tompkins +21, Jordan 0, Paetow -21.
If Paetow wins by less than 21 Tompkins wins this tie-breaker
- 3. Tompkins (5-3) wins point differential
Now that we have the 3rd place team, we determined the 4th place. Since it is a 2-way tie head-to-head determines the winner. Jordan beat Paetow so they grab 4th.
- 4. Jordan (5-3) won head-to-head over Paetow.
If Paetow wins by 21 or more over Tompkins, the point differential will be tied at 0. In this case the 3rd place team would be determined by a coin flip among the 3 teams. 4th place would go to the winner of the game between the remaining 2 teams.
If Tompkins wins the coin flip
3. Tompkins (5-3) coin flip
4. Jordan (5-3) won head-to-head over Paetow
If Jordan wins the coin flip
3. Jordan (5-3) coin flip
4. Paetow (5-3) won head-to-head over Tompkins
If Paetow wins the coin flip
3. Paetow (5-3) coin flip
4. Tompkins won head-to-head over Jordan
Scenario 4 (Cinco Ranch over Seven Lakes, Paetow over Tompkins, Morton Ranch over Jordan)
- Katy (8-0 or 7-1)
- Cinco Ranch (6-2)
This scenario results in a three-way tie between Tompkins, Paetow and Morton Ranch at 5-3.
Tompkins beat Morton Ranch by 34. Paetow beat Morton Ranch by 5. Paetow and Tompkins play this week and, in this scenario, Paetow wins that game.
That gives Paetow wins over both Tompkins and Morton Ranch so they are 3rd.
- 3. Paetow (5-3) wins over both Tompkins and Morton Ranch.
Tompkins beat Morton Ranch so they are 4th.
- 4. Tompkins (5-3) win over Morton Ranch
Scenario 5 (Seven Lakes over Cinco Ranch, Tompkins over Paetow, Jordan over Morton Ranch)
- Katy (8-0 or 7-1)
- Tompkins (6-2)
- Cinco Ranch (5-3) Cinco Ranch won heads up over Jordan
- Jordan (5-3)
Scenario 6 (Cinco Ranch over Seven Lakes, Tompkins over Paetow, Morton Ranch over Jordan)
- Katy (8-0 or 7-1)
- Tompkins (6-2)
- Morton Ranch (5-3) won head-to-head over Cinco Ranch
- Cinco Ranch (5-3)
Scenario 7 (Seven Lake over Cinco Ranch, Paetow over Tompkins, Jordan over Morton Ranch)
- Katy (8-0 or 7-1)
This scenario results in a 4-way tie for 2nd at 5-3 between Cinco Ranch, Tompkins, Jordan and Paetow.
Cinco Ranch beat Tompkins, Jordan and Paetow head-to-head and finishes 2nd.
- 2. Cinco Ranch (5-2) Cinco Ranch won head-to-head over Tompkins, Jordan and Paetow
Tompkins, Jordan and Paetow are now in a 3-way tie for 3rd.
This scenario results in a three-way tie between Tompkins, Jordan and Paetow at 5-3.
Tompkins beat Jordan by 41. Jordan beat Paetow by 28. Paetow and Tompkins play this week and, in this scenario, Paetow wins that game.
That would mean all teams are 1-1 against each other and the positive/ negative tie-breaker capped at 21 is in use.
Differential before the Paetow Tompkins game is played: Tompkins +21, Jordan 0, Paetow -21.
If Paetow wins by less than 21 Tompkins wins this tie-breaker
- 3. Tompkins (5-3) wins point differential
Now that we have the 3rd place team, we determined the 4th place. Since it is a 2-way tie head-to-head determines the winner. Jordan beat Paetow so they grab 4th.
- 4. Jordan (5-3) won head-to-head over Paetow.
If Paetow wins by 21 or more over Tompkins, the point differential will be tied at 0. In this case the 3rd place team would be determined by a coin flip among the 3 teams. 4th place would go to the winner of the game between the remaining 2 teams.
If Tompkins wins the coin flip
3. Tompkins (5-3) coin flip
4. Jordan (5-3) won head-to-head over Paetow
If Jordan wins the coin flip
3. Jordan (5-3) coin flip
4. Paetow (5-3) won head-to-head over Tompkins
If Paetow wins the coin flip
3. Paetow (5-3) coin flip
4. Tompkins won head-to-head over Jordan
Scenario 8 (Seven Lakes over Cinco Ranch, Paetow over Tompkins, Morton Ranch over Jordan)
- Katy (8-0 or 7-1)
This scenario results in a 4-way tie for 2nd between Cinco Ranch, Tompkins, Morton Ranch and Paetow.
Cinco Ranch beat Tompkins and Paetow but lost to Morton Ranch. That gives Cinco Ranch a 2-1 record in this tie-breaker.
Paetow beat Tompkins and Morton Ranch but lost to Cinco Ranch. That gives Paetow a 2-1 record in this tie-breaker.
Tompkins lost to Paetow and Cinco Ranch but beat Morton Ranch. That gives Tompkins a 1-2 record in this tie-breaker.
Morton Ranch lost to Paetow and Tompkins but beat Cinco Ranch That gives Morton Ranch a 1-2 record in this tie-breaker.
Cinco Ranch & Paetow at 2-1 will finish 2nd and 3rd. Cinco Ranch beat Paetow heads-to-head, so they are 2nd.
- 2. Cinco Ranch (5-3) 2-1 in 4-way tie-breaker and beat Paetow head-to-head
- 3. Paetow (5-3) 2-1 in 4-way tie-breaker and lost to Cinco Ranch head-to-head
That leaves Tompkins and Morton Ranch for 4th. Tompkins won the head-to-head.
- 4. Tompkins (5-3) 1-2 in 4-way tie-breaker and beat Morton Ranch head-to-head
And that wraps if for this look at 19-6A scenarios headed into Week 11