I’ll be directing the live video stream of this game Friday night so I thought I’d get myself up to speed before the game and share some of my research with you.
You can watch the FREE stream of this game here: https://gotsp.live/guide/dickinson-high-school-vs-deer-park-high-school-110725-650-pm-90072
Why does this game matter?
The winner of this game will be the D1#1 seed from 24-6A. They will earn the right to host the first round playoff game against Atascocita. The loser of the game will be the D1#2 seed. They will have to travel to North Shore for the first round playoff game.
2025 Results and Remaining Schedule
Deer Park Deer
Week 1 – La Porte (L 31-25)
Week 2 – The Woodlands (L 20-30)
Week 3 – Barbers Hill (W 37-36)
Week 4 – Clear Falls (W 49-35)
Week 5 – Clear Creek (W 44-6)
Week 6 – Clear Brook (W 70-14)
Week 7 – OPEN
Week 8 – Clear Lake (W 42-16)
Week 9 – Clute Brazoswood (W 30-19)
Week 10 – Clear Springs (L 13-14)
Week 11 – Dickinson
Dickinson Gators
Week 1 – Katy (W 34-21)
Week 2 – Sheldon C.E. King (W 47-40)
Week 3 – Cypress-Fairbanks (W 35-21)
Week 4 – Clear Creek (W 59-7)
Week 5 – Clear Brook (W 71-20)
Week 6 – Clear Lake (W 71-14)
Week 7 – OPEN
Week 8 – Clute Brazoswood (W 58-7)
Week 9 – Clear Springs (W 45-7)
Week 10 – Clear Falls (W 51-17)
Week 11 – Deer Park
The Stat Leaders
Deer Park Deer
Haden Lafrenz – 95 of 171 passing, 1485 yards, 16 TDs
Trace Yates – 81 carries, 633 yards, 6 TDs
Aandon Schroeder -28 catches, 534 yards, 7 TDs
John Arthur-French – 27 catches, 483 yards, 6 TDs
Derek Waytek – 79 tackles, 2 TFL
Michael Benavides – 6 sacks, 11 hurries
Kyler Ferris – 6 passes defended
Bryce Medley – 4 interceptions
Dickinson Gators
Lorenzo Aguirre – 129 of 226 passing, 2263 yards, 29 TDs
Malachi Gamble – 94 carries, 713 yards, 8 TDs
Tavin Gomez – 76 carries, 474 yards, 9 TDs
Kalieb Peterson – 45 catches, 1148 yards, 14 TDs
Chase Lewis – 47 tackles, 7 TFL
Mar’Quay Hunter – 4 sacks
Rickey Casimerer – 6 passes defended
Marzelius Hunter – 4 interceptions
Projections For This Game
Dave Campbell’s Computer (otherwise known as Jerry Forest of pigskinprep.com) favors Dickinson by 20.
Massey Ratings (masseyratings.com) favors Dickinson by 27.
I have my own projector that I break out from time-to-time. The projector looks at each team’s performance versus their average performance. This projector favors Dickinson by 21.
What I Expect to See
The strength of Dickinson is their aggressive defense. They enter this game with a +11 turnover ratio having generated 25 turnovers versus surrendering 14 turnovers.
Deer Park is good in the turnover department having generated 19 turnovers versus surrendering 12 turnovers for a +7 turnover ratio.
Dickinson RB Malachi Gamble has missed the last two games with a foot injury (he was wearing a medical boot prior to the last game). No word on whether or not he’ll play in this game. His replacement Tavin Gomez did a credible job against Clear Springs and Clear Falls. And I expect the same in this game.
Dickinson enters the game as the top scoring and yardage offense in 24-6A. I expect Aguirre, Gomez and Peterson to be solid on offense and lead the Dickinson to a score in the mid to high 40s or low to mid 50s. Only two teams have held the Gators under 45 points. Those were Katy (34) and Cy-Fair (35). Two of the top defenses in the region.
Deer Park will need big games on defense from Wytek, Benavides, Ferris and Medley to slow the Gators down.
Deer Park leads 24-6A in rushing yards behind Junior RB Trace Yates but they like to really spread the run game around. Yates has only 633 of the Deer’s 2049 yards rushing and no other runner has reached 320 yards (the minimum to display of the stat sheet I use).
Dickinson will need their front 7 to step up, make the right reads and slow down the Deer run game.
Make no mistake that Deer Park enters this game as the underdog (especially after their loss to Clear Springs last week). They will need to win the turnover battle and generate scores on defense and/ or special teams to pull this one out.
You can follow @antmanfootball on Twitter (I’ll never calls it by that single letter name) for live game updates. Check Twitter (@txhsfb) and txhsfb.net on Friday for a photo gallery from the game.
Happy Football Y’all!
txhsfb.net 
Leave a comment