I’ll be covering this game live Friday night so I thought I’d get myself up to speed before the game and share some of my research with you.
Why does this game matter?
UPDATED to reflect Cy Lakes win over Langham Creek on Thursday.
These two teams are currently tied for 3rd one game head of Langham Creek and Cy Lakes.
Waller now clinches the playoffs with a win in this game. They win all possible tiebreakers they could fall into if they somehow lose to Cy Park.
Cy Springs doesn’t clinch a playoff berths with a win, but they get closer.
For both teams, a lose doesn’t eliminate them from the playoffs, but it puts them in a 3-way tie with Langham Creek and Cy Lakes with one week to play.
The results of the Cy Ranch/ Bridgeland game on Friday effects Cy Springs ability to finish 2nd but doesn’t impact either of these teams ability to make the playoffs.
2025 Results and Remaining Schedule
Waller Bulldog
Week 1 – Conroe Caney Creek (W 49-7)
Week 2 – Conroe Grand Oaks (L 20-28)
Week 3 – Houston Westside (W 49-7)
Week 4 – Cypress Woods (W 41-38)
Week 5 – OPEN
Week 6 – Cypress Lakes (W 54-21)
Week 7 – Cypress Ranch (L 33-35)
Week 8 – Bridgeland (L 28-38)
Week 9 – Langham Creek (W 31-21)
Week 10 – Cypress Springs
Week 11 – Cypress Park
Cy Springs
Week 1 – Fort Bend Bush (W 49-14)
Week 2 – Alief Taylor (W 35-14)
Week 3 – Jersey Village (W 58-0)
Week 4 – OPEN
Week 5 – Cypress Ranch (L 21-28)
Week 6 – Bridgeland (W 49-48)
Week 7 – Langham Creek (L 28-38)
Week 8 – Cypress Woods (W 21-13)
Week 9 – Cypress Park (W 52-0)
Week 10 – Waller
Week 11 – Cypress Lakes
Team Comparison
| Waller | Cy Springs | |
| Marcus Medoza | Head Coach | Oji Fagan |
| (11-27) | Overall Record | (28-22) |
| (11-27) | Record at School | (28-22) |
| 305 | Points For | 313 |
| 38.13 | PFPG | 39.13 |
| 4 | District Rank | 2 |
| 58 | State Rank | 52 |
| 195 | Points Against | 155 |
| 24.38 | PAPG | 19.38 |
| 7 | District Rank | 1 |
| 84 | State Rank | 49 |
| 13.75 | Differential Per Game | 19.75 |
| 4 | District Rank | 1 |
| 65 | State Rank | 38 |
| 209.5 | Pass Yardage Per Game | 150.75 |
| 260 | Rush Yardage Per Game | 221.13 |
| 469.5 | Total Yardage Per Game | 371.88 |
| 160.13 | Pass Yardage Surrendered PG | 126.13 |
| 163.5 | Rush Yardage Surrendered PG | 103.75 |
| 323.63 | Total Yardage Surrendered PG | 229.88 |
| 10 | Turnover Ratio | 2 |
The Stat Leaders
Waller Bulldogs
Robert Carter – 125 carries (leads 16-6A), 1034 yards (leads 16-6A), 11 TDs
Tristen Gaines – 89 of 150, 1575 yards, 16 TDs
Glowin Mbobile – 24 catches, 483 yards, 7 TDs
Trace Geigley – 65 tackles, 4 TFL, 1 interception
Ty Tryon – 7 sacks (leads 16-6A)
Joey Bazan – 6 sacks, 33 tackles
Weston Hubertus – 6 Interceptions (leads 16-6A), 32 tackles, 2 recovered fumbles
Caden Sherry – averaging 34.67 yards a kickoff return, 15 catches, 270 yards, 5 TDs
Cy Springs Panthers
Paris Melvin, Jr – 74 carries, 669 yards, 9 TDs
Myles Hamilton – 51 of 84 passing, 961 yards, 11 TDs
Paris Melvin, Jr – 17 catches, 389 yards, 4 TDs, averaging 23 yards a punt return
Johnathan Ijoma – 82 tackles (leads 16-6A), 13 TFL (leads 16-6A), 4 sacks
K’Irvin Hollerman – 11 passes broken up (leads 16-6A), 2 interceptions
Gabriel Sampson – Averaging 28.38 yards a kickoff return, 14 catches, 126 yards, 1 TD
Projections For This Game
Dave Campbell’s Computer (otherwise known as Jerry Forest of pigskinprep.com) favors Waller by 2.
Massey Ratings (masseyratings.com) favors Cy Springs by 1.
I have own scoring projector that compares a teams performance against their opponents averages. This projector favors Cy Springs by 3.
What I Expect to See
I expect to see a major contrast in styles. Waller has the #1 yardage offense (and #4 scoring offense) in 16-6A. Cy Springs has the #1 yardage defense (and #1 scoring offense) in 16-6A.
Both teams want to run first, though Cy Springs is a bit more extreme on the run than Waller.
For Waller the obvious offensive key is Robert Carter. I covered a Waller game earlier in the year where Carter missed the first half. The Bulldogs were very different when Carter was on the field.
Defensively, Weston Hubertus is the star of the show. Waller has a +10 turnover ratio, Hubertus has produced 8 turnovers (6 interceptions, 2 recovered fumbles).
For Cy Springs, Paris Melvin, Jr is the star of the show leading in both rushing and receiving and averaging 23 yards a punt return.
On defense the burden is shared. Up front Johnathan Ijoma has dominated with 82 tackles (leading 16-6A), 13 TFL and 4 sacks (leading 16-6A). In the backfield, K’Irvin Hollerman has dominated with 11 passes broken up (leading 16-6A) and 2 interceptions.
One key to the game will be the Waller kicking and punting game keeping the ball out of the hands of the Cy Springs returners. The more often the returners have a chance, the more likely they will be to break the game open with a long return.
Another key to the game will be each sides ability to limit the others explosive plays.
For the season, Waller has pressured the QB more than Cy Springs and that has led to some of their turnovers.
I’m expecting a tough tight game that is decided by a big play late.
You can follow @txhsfb on Twitter (I’ll never calls it by that single letter name) for live game updates. Check Twitter (@txhsfb) and txhsfb.net on Friday for a photo gallery from the game.
Happy Football Y’all!
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