I’ll be live at this game Thursday night so I thought I’d get myself up to speed before the game and share some of my research with you.
Why does this game matter?
Cinco Ranch is currently 5-1 in district play and would clinch a playoff berth with a win in this game. Mayde Creek is currently 3-2 in district play tied for fourth with Paetow. They hold the head-to-head tie-breaker thanks to their 36-34 win over Paetow in Week 5.
For Cinco Ranch this may be more about positioning than making the playoffs. They still have a chance to host a playoff game depending on the other teams making the playoffs.
For Mayde Creek they have a likely win remaining (against Seven Lakes) and likely loss remaining (against Katy). They can still make the playoffs with a loss in this game but it gets harder.
2025 Results and Remaining Schedule
Cinco Ranch
Week 1 – The Woodlands (L 0-27)
Week 2 – Tomball (L 14-24)
Week 3 – Katy Seven Lakes (W 42-3)
Week 4 – Katy (L 28-56)
Week 5 – Katy Taylor (W 35-28)
Week 6 – Katy Jordan (W 24-21)
Week 7 – Katy Paetow (W 41-27)
Week 8 – Katy Tompkins (W 35-28)
Week 9 – Katy Mayde Creek
Week 10 – Katy Morton Ranch
Week 11 – OPEN
Mayde Creek
Week 1 – Fort Bend Travis (L 15-16)
Week 2 – Fort Bend Austin (W 63-28)
Week 3 – Katy Taylor (W 55-27)
Week 4 – Katy Jordan (L 22-36)
Week 5 – Katy Paetow (W 36-34)
Week 6 – Katy Tompkins (L 22-31)
Week 7 – OPEN
Week 8 – Katy Morton Ranch (W 47-16)
Week 9 – Katy Cinco Ranch
Week 10 – Katy Seven Lakes
Week 11 – Katy
Quick Team Overviews
The Cinco Ranch Cougars are averaging scoring 27.38 points per game and are averaging surrendering 26.75 points per game. The Cougars run the ball (53%) slightly more than they throw the ball (47%). They are averaging 324.3 yards per game – 134.3 rushing; 190 passing.
On defense for the season the Cougars have 33 TFL, 3 sacks, 39 QB Hurries, 7 interceptions, 6 recovered fumbles and one blocked filed goal.
The Cougar kickoff game is returned most of the time with only 2 touchbacks. The punting game has 1 punt inside the 20. The Cougars average 22.5 yards per kickoff return. The Cougars have only returned two punts but those have averaged 29 yards.
The Mayde Creek Rams are averaging scoring 37.14 points per game and are averaging surrendering 26.86 points per game. The Rams also run the ball (53%) more than they throw the ball (47%). They averaging 320.9 yards per game – 160.6 rushing, 160.3 passing.
On defense for the season the Rams have 42 TFL, 16 sacks, 41 QB Hurries, 1 interception, 3 recovered fumbles and two blocked field goals.
The Stat Leaders
Cinco Ranch Cougars
Davis Roup is 117 of 194 passing for 1588 yards with 15TDs against 4 interceptions.
Marcus Gadlin has 108 carries for 596 yards with 10 TDs.
Jacob Chavez has 42 receptions for 638 yards with 11 TDs.
Jacob Forinash has 94 tackles, 3 TFL, 1 sack, 1 QB hurry, 2 interceptions,1 recovered fumble.
Mayde Creek Rams
Adriel Gomez is 78 of 151 passing for 1071 yards with 11 TDs against 9 interceptions.
Jammal Jones has 68 carries for 652 yards with 8 TDs.
Chad Nelson has 20 receptions for 334 yards with 2 TDs.
Christian Arogbonlo has 66 tackles, 8 TFL, 3.5 sacks, 8 QB hurries
Stone Bankston has 1 interception
Bankston, Issaih Booker, Marcus Estes have one recovered fumble each.
Projections For This Game
Dave Campbell’s Computer (otherwise known as Jerry Forest of pigskinprep.com) favors Cinco Ranch by 3.
Massey Ratings (masseyratings.com) favors Cinco Ranch by 11.
I have my own projector spreadsheet I use from time-to-time that looks at each team’s performance against their opponents average performance. That projector favors Mayde Creek by just under 3 points.
What I Expect to See
I think the key to this game will be Cinco Ranch’s response to Mayde Creek’s unique multiple offense. The Rams run from a number of different tight formations use a number of different options style offense and attempt to use their speed to outrun opponents and turn the corner.
Cinco Ranch has specialized in winning close district games. Of their 5 district wins, 3 have been by 7 or less points.
I expect this game to be decided by less than 1 score and be decided late in the game. Both teams have demonstrated an ability to move the ball late in games and don’t panic in close games.
You can follow me on Twitter (I’ll never calls it by that single letter name) @txhsfb. Check Twitter and txhsfb.net on Friday for a photo gallery from the game.
Happy Football Y’all!
txhsfb.net 
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