I’ll be live at this game Thursday night so I thought I’d get myself up to speed before the game and share some of my research with you.
Why does this game matter?
Magnolia is currently 4-0 in District 15-6A play and the only team undefeated in district play. Klein Collins is 4-1 in district play and sits just behind Magnolia. I don’t think this is the de facto district championship game, but it is close. Tomball is still in play for the title but a win in this game by Klein Collins would put them way ahead as they would have already beaten both of their primary competitors (Tomball Week 3). A Magnolia win would probably be the team’s biggest win since moving to 6A. A win keeps the Bulldogs in the discussion for the district crown which they could clinch with a win this week and win Week 10 against Tomball.
2025 Results and Remaining Schedule
Magnolia
| Week 1 | Lake Creek | W 41-13 |
| Week 2 | College Station | W 43 -32 |
| Week 3 | Klein Oak | W 20-13 |
| Week 4 | Tombal Memorial | W 52-19 |
| Week 5 | OPEN | |
| Week 6 | Klein Cain | W 31-24 |
| Week 7 | Klein Forest | W 50-6 |
| Week 8 | Klein Collins | |
| Week 9 | Tombal | |
| Week 10 | Magnolia West | |
| Week 11 | Klein |
Klein Collins
| Week 1 | College Station | W 35- 28 |
| Week 2 | Willis | W 42-13 |
| Week 3 | Tomball | W 35-34 |
| Week 4 | Magnolia West | W 42-0 |
| Week 5 | Klein | W 36-30 |
| Week 6 | Klein Oak | L 35-36 |
| Week 7 | Tomball Memorial | W 48-13 |
| Week 8 | Magnolia | |
| Week 9 | Klein Cain | |
| Week 10 | Keling Forest | |
| Week 11 | OPEN |
Quick Team Overviews
The Magnolia Bulldogs are averaging scoring 39.50 points per game and are averaging surrendering 17.83 points per game. They like to throw the ball (57%) more than run the ball (43%). They are averaging 324 yards per game – 185 yards rushing, 134 yards passing.
On defense the Bulldogs have 23 sacks, 6 interceptions and 4 recovered fumbles.
The Klein Collins Tigers are averaging scoring 39.00 points per game and are averaging surrendering 22.00 points per game. They like to run the ball (60%) more than throw the ball *40%). They are averaging 332 yards per game – 203 yards rushing, 129 yards passing.
On defense the Tigers have 17 sacks, 7 interceptions and 3 recovered fumbles.
The Stat Leaders
Magnolia Bulldogs
Chase Lowery is 79 of 130 passing for 986 yards with 8 TDs and 5 interceptions.
Cash Ferrell has 90 carries for 609 yards with 9 TDs.
Carson Smith has 21 receptions for 296 yards and 3 TDs.
Joseph Solomon has 16 receptions for 203 yards and 3 TDs.
Aiyhden Noland has 41 tackles, 1 TFL
Tyler Covar has 35 tackles, 6 TFL
Ty Miller has 30 tackles, 6 TFL
Ayden Johnson has 9 sacks in 15 tackles
Hudson Enyart has 3 interceptions.
Klein Collins Tigers
Braydon Schoggin is 46 of 68 passing for 901 yards with 6 TDs and 3 interceptions.
Braydon Schoggin has 98 carries for 563 yards and 16 TDs.
Ty’Drick Finley has 10 receptions for 287 yards and 1 TD.
Aiyden Benford has 13 receptions for 221 yards and 2 TDs.
Adrian Jenkins has 9 receptions for 188 yards and 2 TDs.
J.D. Brady has 58 tackles, 7 TFL, 4 sacks
Randall Jackson has 21 tackles, 5 TFL, 4 sacks
Gavin Dartez has 2 interceptions.
Projections For This Game
Dave Campbell’s Computer (otherwise known as Jerry Forest of pigskinprep.com) has Klein Collins as a 6 point favorite.
Massey Ratings (masseyratings.com) has Klein Collins as a 7 point favorite.
I have my own projector spreadsheet I use from time-to-time that looks at each team’s performance against their opponents average performance. That projector has the game as a toss up with a margin of less than 1 point.
What I Expect to See
I expect to see a contrast in style. Magnolia wants to control the clock by running the ball and complete screens and short passes. Klein Collins would like to use their wide opening running game to stretch the field and score quickly.
To me the key to the game is Klein Collins QB Braydon Schoggin versus the Magnolia defense. The game runs through Schoggin for the Tigers. He will get his yards both running and throwing. If he is ripping off big play after big play, this game will go in the Tigers’ favor. If the Bulldogs can contain Schoggin and limit his big play potential, this game will go in the Bulldogs’ favor.
I expect to see a winning score somewhere around 21 to 28 points. If it is higher than that it favors Klein Collins. A defensive slug fest favors Magnolia.
You can follow me on Twitter (I’ll never calls it by that single letter name) @txhsfb. Check Twitter and txhsfb.net on Friday for a photo gallery from the game.
Happy Football To All!
txhsfb.net 
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